Trousdale Wildfire Watch — Beverly Hills

Watch point: Trousdale Estates · 34.1060, -118.4050 · NWS fire weather zone: reading…
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A row is flagged Santa Ana pattern when the wind comes from the north, northeast, or east AND the humidity is 20% or lower, or when the NWS forecast text says "Santa Ana", "offshore", or "red flag".

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Active fires nearby

Source: NIFC WFIGS current incidents inside the Santa Monica Mountains / LA basin box (about -118.75 to -118.10 west to east, 33.90 to 34.35 south to north). Distance is a straight line from Trousdale Estates.

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Map: WIFIRE Firemap, Societal Computing and Innovation Lab, San Diego Supercomputer Center, UC San Diego — shown live from firemap.sdsc.edu, provided as a public service, not a decision-making tool. In an emergency call 911; never disregard an evacuation order because of something on a map. The first time the window opens, press Accept on Firemap's notice.

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Sun and moon

Computed on this computer for the watch point with the standard NOAA solar equations (no network). Santa Ana wind season runs about September through April, strongest in the fall and early winter.

The Trousdale card — fixed facts from our reports

  • Highest-risk area: Trousdale Estates (Carla Ridge / Loma Vista Dr / N. Hillcrest Rd, up to Mulholland). Second: upper Coldwater Canyon / Loma Linda corridor. SOC Maps 20–23, printed pp. 47–50 / PDF pp. 57–60.
  • What the SOC says a Very High Risk wildland fire needs on the first alarm: 27 personnel (1 BC, 5 engines, 1 truck) = BHFD's whole on-duty force, so any serious Trousdale fire is a mutual-aid fire from the first alarm. SOC critical tasking table, printed p. 117 / PDF p. 127; daily staffing printed pp. 70–72 / PDF pp. 80–82.
  • Planning model (wind-driven Santa Ana, first burning period): ~40–50 engines, 2–4 hand crews, 3–4 aircraft, 2–4 water tenders, ~250–320 fire personnel, plus police for evacuation. This is a TRIAGE AND PATROL force, not a one-engine-per-structure defense force (FIRESCOPE doctrine). Planning model: the SOC report, Section 5. Label: the gap analysis, Part 3.
  • Speed of the fire: the 2021 Wildfire Assessment modeled a Mulholland ignition reaching Trousdale in under 15 minutes, so pre-positioning, not response, is the only plan that works. Gap analysis finding; Wildfire Assessment Report (Shew / Lopez, 2021).
  • Mutual and automatic aid lineup: LAFD BRUSH assignment (6 engines, 1 light force, 2 helicopters, 2 BCs, 1 assistant chief) — SOC printed p. 71 / PDF p. 81. LA County Fire (E7 first alarm; LF8 + BC second alarm) — printed p. 103 / PDF p. 113. Santa Monica Plan (Sept 2024) with LAFD, LA County, MRCA, NPS — Franklin Canyon = Initial Action Zone — printed pp. 36, 72 / PDF pp. 46, 82.
  • Red Flag day posture: one extra 4-person engine staffed north of Sunset; parking restricted on designated narrow streets. SOC printed p. 78 / PDF p. 88.
  • At stake: ~1,628 parcels, ~$1.6B assessed value; 2,110 public "trees of concern" north of Sunset. SOC printed pp. 35, 41 / PDF pp. 45, 51; trees printed p. 46 / PDF p. 56.
  • The SOC's own admission: "increased response time to the Trousdale Area" is listed as an area requiring improvement; the fixes it offers are a fourth station, a peak-time move-up unit, a two-person quick-response vehicle, or relocating Station 2. SOC printed p. 158 / PDF p. 168 (gap analysis finding).

Page references give both numbers: printed page / PDF page (PDF page = printed page + 10). Sources: "Beverly Hills Wildfire Risk — What the 2026–2030 Standards of Cover Says" (Sept 2026) and its "Verification and Gap Analysis" (Sept 2026).

Notes — Trousdale Estates

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